Modi says, "Mazel tov"
The first few years after independence were marked with a
cautious approach to foreign policy. As Nehru resolutely kept himself away from
major tangles in the Cold War and engaged with Russia mainly fulfilling the
needs of nascent India related to defence and security. Not just that, India
sought a lot of help to sustain its wobbly economy and armed forces through imports
and technology transfers.
A
major element of Nehru's tilt away from America was the cold shoulder given to
Israel, a nation which many believed to be a natural ally to India. While Nehru
sympathized with the plight of the Jews and the atrocities they faced during
the Holocaust, he bluntly refused deep collaborations with Israel, nor did he
support the formation of Israel very enthusiastically, although India formally
recognized Israel in 1950.
However,
the world has shifted drastically since Nehru’s time. The current situation in
the world is not very suitable for clinging to long time friendships,
especially in terms of ensuring military alliances. Most major powers are weary
and wary of entering into any new fray, and especially for India, the reticence
the U.S. has historically shown in standing against Pakistan is not something reassuring.
The timing is especially bad on this, considering China's posturing and the
repeated run-ins the Indian security forces are having against China. In a way,
India is caught in a strategic corridor between China and Pakistan, with the
Belt and Road initiative making the neighbourhood even more problematic for
India.
Hence,
for the current administration, the fresh friendly overtures to Israel are a
godsend. A nation which stands as a sole non-Islamic nation in the restive
Middle East, Israel shares India's wariness for Islamic terrorism and
especially Pakistan, which it does not have any diplomatic ties with. Moreover,
the current duo of Netanyahu and Modi are much more compatible with each other
than previous Congress administrations which were wary of seeing themselves
close to a nation seen as a persecutor of Muslims in the Middle East. Especially
in the Nehruvian model of politics and probably considering Nehru’s own bent
towards taking a compassionate view of politics, he was maybe uncomfortable the
manner in which Israel was formed.
However,
Modi’s hard realism is visibly different from Nehru’s. Modi apparently realizes
that India needs to follow some models of American diplomacy, especially the
duplicitous policy of "stay the best of friends with Saudi Arabia and on
the other hand, remain the closest supporter of Israel and bar any
international sanctions against it." Similarly, Modi seems to want to pull
off the feat of maintaining and improving ties with Iran on one hand while
building them up with Israel.
The
ties hold good hopes and will be mutually beneficial if they are navigated
well. Israel has done a lot in terms of water conservation, research in
building quality urban spaces and is in a way, the pioneer of the Smart Cities
concept, which Modi will want to tap into for his Smart cities project, and of
course, arms and technology transfer which India is seeking to bolster its
flagging military technology. For Israel, India is a major ally which in its
own view, is in a similar plight with regards to Islamic terrorism, along with
of course, being a lucrative economic opportunity hungry for transfer of
technology and products in all the aforementioned areas.
In
terms of being victims of terrorism, Israel actually has immensely superior
military might than its purported enemies such as Hamas and Hezbollah, and
sophisticated defence systems such as the Iron Dome and its belligerent
military have made it extremely hard for terrorists to strike at Israel, while
India has faced much more daunting challenges in the form of well-equipped
Kashmiri infiltration in a rough terrain, coupled with major terrorist attacks
on its soil. Nonetheless, India and Israel can form a manoeuvrable political
alliance to create pressure on their common nemeses, and possibly share
intelligence, military insights and collaborate strategically to each other’s
mutual advantage.
On
the other hand, both India and Israel face similar criticism regarding their
human rights records. Israel is accused of human rights violations in
Palestine, while India has similar allegations of heavy-handedness in Kashmir, the
Northeastern states, and last but not the least, in it's own heartland against
the left-wing insurgency. Modi and the BJP are facing even more criticism against
the violent mobs attacking Dalits and Muslims in the name of cow protection. In
the eyes of their detractors, it is an alliance of two leaders with similarly
questionable human rights records. Both of them have mostly shown disdain of
such criticism, mostly ignoring it, sometimes responding to it and many-a-times
lashing out at it as propaganda by opposing politicians and vested interests.
At
this point however, India's dire need of an ideologically aligned ally who is
politically, technologically and scientifically powerful at the same time
trumps all considerations. At a time when traditional allies such as Russia,
the U.S. and others are not being of too much help or are locked in their own
tussles, Israel is a useful new friend India can hope to bank on. To be fair,
the Nehruvian sympathy to Palestine and the inexplicable lack of diplomatic
ties with Israel did not pay off in terms of political advantages or alliances,
while Israel supported India in campaigns against Pakistan despite the lack of
strong diplomatic ties.
If
India and Israel can manage these ties well, maybe use them to steer Trump and
the U.S. to help their own ends, and create a strong multi-faceted association,
it will probably be one of the best foreign policy achievements of Modi's
tenure. But Modi also cannot afford to let go of India’s current allies. He will
need to strike a fine balance between other allies like Iran, other Middle
Eastern nations in light of these new developments. Especially with Iran, where
India plans to invest in a big way for development of the Chabahar Port, and
which is a critical supplier of oil for India, Modi’s administration will need
to step up efforts to reassure them that the relations with Israel will not
alter the historically deep ties with Iran.
In
sum, the development of Indo-Israeli ties was a political inevitability,
regardless of the extent to which they blossom. As for the moral angle of
allying with a ruthlessly militaristic nation like Israel, the answer would be
to ignore them and progress to strengthen these ties due to the many political
and strategic exigencies that India faces.
Perfect analysis.
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